Marquette Michigan Forecast Accuracy
Comparing forecasted temperatures (NWS) with actual (Act) temperatures
Goal: +/- 3°F | Forecast Day | +1 Day | +2 Day | +3 Day | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | High | Low | |||||||||
Date | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act |
07/26/2024 | 82 | 82.1 | 64 | 86 | 70 | 87 | 69 | 84 | 67 | |||||||
07/25/2024 | 74 | 74.2 | 60 | 61.5 | 83 | 82.1 | 64 | 85 | 68 | 86 | 68 | |||||
07/24/2024 | 67 | 68.0 | 56 | 55.8 | 72 | 74.2 | 58 | 61.5 | 83 | 82.1 | 63 | 86 | 67 | |||
07/23/2024 | 63 | 64.3 | 58 | 60.1 | 67 | 68.0 | 54 | 55.8 | 75 | 74.2 | 58 | 61.5 | 82 | 82.1 | 62 | |
07/22/2024 | 77 | 73.7 | 60 | 59.0 | 66 | 64.3 | 57 | 60.1 | 68 | 68.0 | 55 | 55.8 | 74 | 74.2 | 57 | 61.5 |
07/21/2024 | 70 | 70.3 | 56 | 55.1 | 76 | 73.7 | 59 | 59.0 | 70 | 64.3 | 57 | 60.1 | 67 | 68.0 | 56 | 55.8 |
07/20/2024 | 73 | 74.3 | 58 | 56.7 | 71 | 70.3 | 57 | 55.1 | 78 | 73.7 | 60 | 59.0 | 76 | 64.3 | 61 | 60.1 |
07/19/2024 | 81 | 79.8 | 63 | 66.3 | 73 | 74.3 | 58 | 56.7 | 72 | 70.3 | 58 | 55.1 | 76 | 73.7 | 60 | 59.0 |
07/18/2024 | 73 | 72.3 | 54 | 61.4 | 82 | 79.8 | 62 | 66.3 | 78 | 74.3 | 58 | 56.7 | 75 | 70.3 | 58 | 55.1 |
07/17/2024 | 63 | 64.6 | 54 | 54.3 | 74 | 72.3 | 59 | 61.4 | 81 | 79.8 | 64 | 66.3 | 78 | 74.3 | 60 | 56.7 |
07/16/2024 | 74 | 73.0 | 57 | 57.9 | 65 | 64.6 | 52 | 54.3 | 74 | 72.3 | 59 | 61.4 | 81 | 79.8 | 62 | 66.3 |
07/15/2024 | 80 | 85.4 | 59 | 61.1 | 74 | 73.0 | 58 | 57.9 | 67 | 64.6 | 56 | 54.3 | 74 | 72.3 | 58 | 61.4 |
07/14/2024 | 79 | 81.5 | 63 | 66.2 | 82 | 85.4 | 61 | 61.1 | 73 | 73.0 | 57 | 57.9 | 67 | 64.6 | 56 | 54.3 |
07/13/2024 | 87 | 89.2 | 67 | 67.8 | 81 | 81.5 | 65 | 66.2 | 85 | 85.4 | 62 | 61.1 | 74 | 73.0 | 56 | 57.9 |
07/12/2024 | 79 | 85.6 | 66 | 71.2 | 87 | 89.2 | 69 | 67.8 | 84 | 81.5 | 65 | 66.2 | 82 | 85.4 | 61 | 61.1 |
07/11/2024 | 73 | 71.0 | 62 | 60.2 | 85 | 85.6 | 67 | 71.2 | 88 | 89.2 | 68 | 67.8 | 86 | 81.5 | 64 | 66.2 |
07/10/2024 | 70 | 69.8 | 57 | 57.7 | 73 | 71.0 | 60 | 60.2 | 85 | 85.6 | 66 | 71.2 | 88 | 89.2 | 66 | 67.8 |
07/09/2024 | 74 | 74.1 | 57 | 59.5 | 68 | 69.8 | 58 | 57.7 | 74 | 71.0 | 61 | 60.2 | 82 | 85.6 | 64 | 71.2 |
07/08/2024 | 80 | 80.9 | 58 | 61.3 | 74 | 74.1 | 58 | 59.5 | 71 | 69.8 | 58 | 57.7 | 74 | 71.0 | 62 | 60.2 |
07/07/2024 | 82 | 84.6 | 63 | 64.7 | 78 | 80.9 | 60 | 61.3 | 72 | 74.1 | 57 | 59.5 | 71 | 69.8 | 57 | 57.7 |
07/06/2024 | 70 | 73.8 | 59 | 59.8 | 80 | 84.6 | 61 | 64.7 | 76 | 80.9 | 59 | 61.3 | 72 | 74.1 | 57 | 59.5 |
07/05/2024 | 61 | 65.6 | 55 | 54.8 | 72 | 73.8 | 59 | 59.8 | 78 | 84.6 | 61 | 64.7 | 74 | 80.9 | 59 | 61.3 |
07/04/2024 | 69 | 68.1 | 53 | 57.7 | 59 | 65.6 | 55 | 54.8 | 73 | 73.8 | 58 | 59.8 | 79 | 84.6 | 61 | 64.7 |
07/03/2024 | 81 | 84.9 | 60 | 63.1 | 72 | 68.1 | 55 | 57.7 | 64 | 65.6 | 56 | 54.8 | 73 | 73.8 | 59 | 59.8 |
07/02/2024 | 66 | 66.9 | 61 | 60.3 | 80 | 84.9 | 62 | 63.1 | 74 | 68.1 | 57 | 57.7 | 68 | 65.6 | 57 | 54.8 |
07/01/2024 | 75 | 78.9 | 57 | 58.8 | 70 | 66.9 | 62 | 60.3 | 80 | 84.9 | 61 | 63.1 | 76 | 68.1 | 58 | 57.7 |
06/30/2024 | 64 | 68.4 | 45 | 52.4 | 75 | 78.9 | 57 | 58.8 | 68 | 66.9 | 62 | 60.3 | 79 | 84.9 | 61 | 63.1 |
06/29/2024 | 71 | 77.4 | 47 | 47.8 | 62 | 68.4 | 46 | 52.4 | 75 | 78.9 | 57 | 58.8 | 71 | 66.9 | 62 | 60.3 |
06/28/2024 | 69 | 64.3 | 61 | 63.7 | 64 | 77.4 | 48 | 47.8 | 66 | 68.4 | 49 | 52.4 | 74 | 78.9 | 56 | 58.8 |
06/27/2024 | 67 | 69.9 | 55 | 57.8 | 67 | 64.3 | 60 | 63.7 | 72 | 77.4 | 49 | 47.8 | 65 | 68.4 | 50 | 52.4 |
06/26/2024 | 58 | 56.9 | 47 | 50.3 | 66 | 69.9 | 54 | 57.8 | 70 | 64.3 | 60 | 63.7 | 72 | 77.4 | 48 | 47.8 |
Errors | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act | NWS | Act |
Net | -1.3 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 0.2 | -1.0 | 0.3 | -1.0 | ||||||||
MAE | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | ||||||||
RMS | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | ||||||||
Goal % | 67.7 | 70.0 | 66.7 | 72.4 | 65.5 | 78.6 | 50.0 | 77.8 |
Updated every day at 9:03AM ET
NOTES:
- Negative "Net" errors indicate forecasted temps cooler than actual.
- Root Mean Squared (RMS) method is more sensitive to large absolute errors.
- MAE is the Mean Absolute Error or average error without respect to being negative or positive
- Forecast goal is +/- 3 degrees Fahrenheit; goal percentage is how frequently in period goal was accomplished
- In everything but goal percentage, lower is better.
- Highs are measured from 6AM - 8PM (recorded at 8:02 PM); lows from 6PM - 9AM (recorded at 9:03 AM)
- Empty cells represent future (main table) or non-applicable (error summary) data.
- Weather Underground forecast collection ceased on 06/27/18
(Auto night: 10:49 PM - 5:02 AM)